Air Crash Investigation

"It is extraordinary how safe flying has become. You are now statistically more likely to be elected president of the United States in your lifetime than you are to die in a plane crash. What an amazing achievement as a society! But what we end up focusing on are the catastrophic failures that are incredibly rare but happen every now and then."

Steven Johnson

Intro

When one mentions plane crashes, the first thing that comes to mind is dreadful pictures of half-burnt air behemoths snapped in two, big headlines, and news articles that speak about tragic, fatal incidents with almost no survivors.

However...

Is this really always the case? Does a solid foundation for this outlook exist in data? How did aviation change and evolve during the recent history?

Our goal is to answer these questions and more, by presenting the data from the NTSB aviation accident dataset through several interactive visualizations.

Temporal trends

Does the number of crashes increase or decrease over time? During which season are they more frequent? Scroll down to see the answer!

Crash condegram

Our first visualization aims to give an overview of temporal trends in aviation. The condegram to the right illustrates how the number of crashes changed over time, with the height of the bar corresponding to the number of crashes in the given month of the given year.

Besides the decreasing trend in the number of crashes, we can also see periodical oscillations.

Indeed, more crashes occur during the summer than during the winter!

Models and manufacturers

We usually hear about crashes of commercial flights. Unfortunately, crashes of amateur flights seldom reach the news, we only hear about them if a rich famous person was involved in the incident.

Are these amateur crashes truly less frequent, or are they only less publicized?

Crashes per model



The bar chart race on the left illustrates the increasing number of crashes per model for a specific manufacturer over the past four decades. It reveals that Cessna models have resulted in a higher total number of deaths compared to Boeing models. Unsurprisingly, this indicates that more fatalities occurred in amateur flights rather than commercial ones. Additionally, it is noteworthy that the scales for the total number of crashes and deaths vary significantly, providing further insight into the relationship between crash fatality and the overall number of incidents analyzed.

Geographical trends

It is unlikely that crashes are evenly distributed across all states, but where are they more frequent? During which phase of flight are they more likely to occur? Scroll down to see the answer!

Years: 2001 - 2022

Our third visualization aims to give an overview of geographical trends in crashes. The map on the right depicts the relative number of crashes per county of each state. We can see that most of these crashes occur in California, Texas, and Florida. By clicking on a state, we can explore how these crashes are distributed in each of the states. For example, most of the crashes in California occurred in the vicinity of Los Angeles.

We can also observe that crashes are most frequent during the "takeoff" phase. While they are very rare during the "taxi" phase.

Crashes per airline

Finally, we explore how the location of a crash depends on the airline conducting the flight. It would be reasonable to expect very similar trends as on the map above...

Airline crashes

However, the geographical location of crashes varies significantly per airline! Notice that, for example, "Delta Airlines" has the highest number of incidents in Georgia. This could be explained by the fact that the headquarters of "Delta Airlines" is in Atlanta, Georgia.

However, this reasoning doesn't generalize to the other two companies. For example, the headquarters of "United Airlines" is in Illinois, while the state in which crashes were most frequent is California.

"Failure saves lives. In the airline industry, every time a plane crashes the probability of the next crash is lowered by that."

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a Lebanese-American author

The Black Lotus Team

Lazar Radojević

Aleksa Milisavljević

Andrija Jelenković